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KO50001004-00360006-0057.pdf
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Title |
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A note on approximation of prediction error of a proposed predictor with an estimated autoregressive parameter in a linear model
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Creator |
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Toyooka, Yasuyuki
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Kana |
トヨオカ, ヤスユキ
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Affiliation |
Department of Applied Mathematics Faculty of Engineering Science Osaka University
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Name |
谷本, 信
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Kana |
タニモト, シン
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Romanization |
Tanimoto, Shin
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Affiliation |
Department of Administration Engineering Faculty of Science and Technology Keio University
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慶應義塾大学理工学部
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Kana |
ケイオウ ギジュク ダイガク リコウガクブ
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Romanization |
Keio gijuku daigaku rikogakubu
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Date |
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1983
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Source Title |
Name |
Keio Science and Technology Reports
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Volume |
36
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Issue |
6
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Year |
1983
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Month |
12
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Start page |
57
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End page |
64
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Abstract |
We propose a predictor for one step ahead observation of the statistical linear model with an error of the first-order stationary autoregressive process from the viewpoint of the generalized least squares estimation. The predictor is constructed by making use of an estimator of the autoregressive parameter based on the past observations of the process. We give an expansion up to O(1/T) for the prediction mean squared error of our predictor and show that this expansion coincides with that of the predictor with an estimator of autoregressive parameter which is independent of the past observations.
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Departmental Bulletin Paper
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