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AA00260492-19860001-0049  
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Title A MACROECONOMIC MODEL WITH THE RATE OF UNEMPLOYMENT AS A RISK PROBABILITY UNDER THE GOVERNMENT BUDGET RESTRAINT  
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Creator
Name 浜田, 文雅  
Kana ハマダ, フミマサ  
Romanization HAMADA, Fumimasa  
Affiliation Agricultural Economics, THE KEIO ECONOMIC SOCIETY Keio University  
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Tokyo  
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Name Keio Economic Society, Keio University  
Kana  
Romanization  
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Issued (from:yyyy) 1986  
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Name Keio economic studies  
Name (Translated)  
Volume 23  
Issue 1  
Year 1986  
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Start page 49  
End page 62  
ISSN
00229709  
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Abstract
This paper attempts to analyse the effectiveness of government fiscal policies through the bond financing when an economy's growth rate is slowing down. Firstly, by introducing the rate of unemployment, defined as a risk probability that consumers and firms bear in their decision making into a macroeconomic model under a government budget restraint, the performances of transitory equilibra are analysed, and it is found that the higher is the rate of unemployment, the smaller are the impact multipliers of governament expenditure. Secondly, making a dynamic analysis with this model, it is shown that the smaller is the government deficit, near a transitory equilibrium, the higher is the likelihood that the conditions for dynamic stability of an economy will be satisfied. Finally, it is shown that an increase in government expenditures through bond financing will result in a larger government deficit and a rise in interest rates, in an economy which has already suffered from a large deficit. A purpose of this study is to give a theoretical basis to a macroeconomic analysis of the Postwar Japan, published in Hamada (1984). This is an extension of Hamada and Shiozawa (1894).
 
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英語  
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Dec 18, 2009 09:00:00  
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Dec 18, 2009 09:00:00  
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/ Public / Faculty of Economics / Keio economic studies / 23(1) 1986
 
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