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KAKEN_15K03270seika.pdf
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世界から見た日本政治 : 政党公約の国際比較・時系列比較分析
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セカイ カラ ミタ ニホン セイジ : セイトウ コウヤク ノ コクサイ ヒカク・ジケイレツ ヒカク ブンセキ
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Sekai kara mita Nihon seiji : seitō kōyaku no kokusai hikaku jikeiretsu hikaku bunseki
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Japanese politics from a global perspective : an international and time-series analysis of party manifestoes
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谷口, 尚子
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タニグチ, ナオコ
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Taniguchi, Naoko
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慶應義塾大学・システムデザイン・マネジメント研究科 (日吉) ・教授
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Research team head
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科研費研究者番号 : 50307203
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2020
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科学研究費補助金研究成果報告書
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2019
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本研究は政党の選挙公約の時系列・各国比較を可能にする国際的手法を用いて、1960年以降の総選挙における日本の政党公約データを完成させた。分析の結果、日本では主要政党全体が右に移動し、保守政党の経済自由主義化と革新政党の政治的穏健化が見られたが、英米独の二大政党間対立と比較すれば、日本の与野党対立は中道右派と左派の対立だった。小選挙区比例代表並立制導入後は、政権獲得を目指す最大与野党間の政策差が縮小し、より普遍的な政策主張が増えた。さらに選挙公約データと各党得票率を使ってOECD諸国の「中位投票者」の位置を推定すると、極右政党の台頭が見られる欧州では、それに先立って有権者の右傾化が起きていた。
In this study, we have completed the data of party manifestoes in the Japanese general elections since 1960 based on the international method that enables the time series and comparative analyses. The results show that the major parties of Japan have moved to the right, with conservative parties becoming more economically liberal and radical parties becoming more politically moderate, but compared to the two major parties in the UK, the US, and Germany, the largest ruling and opposition parties in Japan have competed as the center-right and the left parties. After the introduction of the new electoral system, the policy distance between the largest ruling and opposition parties seeking power has narrowed and they came to appeal more universal policies. Analyzing the manifestoes and the vote share of each party to estimate the positions of the "Median Voter" in OECD countries, we find that the rise of far-right parties in Europe has been preceded by rightward tilts of the electorates.
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研究種目 : 基盤研究 (C) (一般)
研究期間 : 2015~2019
課題番号 : 15K03270
研究分野 : 政治学
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