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AN00234610-20131001-0047.pdf
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| Title |
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被曝による被害vs.被曝を避けることによる被害 : 予防原則の最適停止理論的分析
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ヒバク ニ ヨル ヒガイ vs. ヒバク オ サケルコト ニ ヨル ヒガイ : ヨボウ ゲンソク ノ サイテキ テイシ リロンテキ ブンセキ
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Hibaku ni yoru higai vs. hibaku o sakerukoto ni yoru higai : yobo gensoku no saiteki teishi rironteki bunseki
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Consideration of precautionary principle based on optimal stopping theory
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藤田, 康範
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フジタ, ヤスノリ
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Fujita, Yasunori
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慶應義塾大学経済学部教授
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慶應義塾経済学会
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ケイオウ ギジュク ケイザイ ガッカイ
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Keio gijuku keizai gakkai
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2013
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三田学会雑誌
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Keio journal of economics
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106
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3
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2013
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10
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369(47)
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377(55)
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本研究では, 被災地域の生産物価格および環境水準が確率的に変動するモデルを, 最適停止理論に基づいて構築し, 「重大な被害が起こる恐れがある場合は予防措置をとるべきである」という予防原則が被災地域に与える影響について分析する。
本研究での分析により, 「仮設住宅を充実する」という意味での予防は無効であるが, 「生産物価格や環境水準が悪化しない地域をつくる」という意味での予防は有効である, という結論が導かれる。
Based on the optimal stopping theory, this study constructs a model where product prices and environment standards in disaster-stricken areas fluctuate stochastically, analyzing the effects in disaster-stricken areas exerted by precautionary principles such as "in case of risk of serious damage, precautionary measures must be taken."
The analysis in this study concludes that precautions in the sense of "enhancement of temporary housing" are not effective, whereas precautions such as "building areas where product prices and environment standards do not worsen" are effective.
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| History |
| Nov 5, 2014 | | フリーキーワード, 抄録, 版, 本文 を変更 |
| Nov 5, 2014 | | 終了 を変更 |
| Aug 5, 2015 | | 抄録, 本文 を変更 |
| Nov 1, 2021 | | JaLCDOI を変更 |
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