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AA00260481-20130000-0001  
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Title
Title Fiscal consolidation in Japan  
Kana  
Romanization  
Other Title
Title  
Kana  
Romanization  
Creator
Name 深尾, 光洋  
Kana フカオ, ミツヒロ  
Romanization Fukao, Mitsuhiro  
Affiliation Professor, Faculty of Business and Commerce, Keio University  
Affiliation (Translated)  
Role  
Link  
Edition
 
Place
Tokyo  
Publisher
Name Society of Business and Commerce, Keio University  
Kana  
Romanization  
Date
Issued (from:yyyy) 2013  
Issued (to:yyyy)  
Created (yyyy-mm-dd)  
Updated (yyyy-mm-dd)  
Captured (yyyy-mm-dd)  
Physical description
 
Source Title
Name Keio business review  
Name (Translated)  
Volume  
Issue 48(2013)  
Year  
Month  
Start page 1(1)  
End page 24(24)  
ISSN
04534557  
ISBN
 
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Abstract
In order to maintain the stability of its financial system, Japan must control its budget deficit by continuing with a contractionary fiscal policy. Ideally, the negative effects of a tight fiscal policy should be countered by an expansionary monetary policy. However, the effectiveness of the conventional interest-rate policy has been diluted by the zero lower bound of interest rates. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe asked the Bank of Japan to set a 2 percent inflation target to be achieved in two years through a massive quantitative easing of the monetary base. In this paper, we first review Japan's macroeconomic performance since the collapse of the asset-price bubble in the late 1980s. Next, we make a long-term projection of Japan's fiscal balance by estimating the macro production function for Japan. We also estimate the required increase in the government's tax revenues under a few scenarios. After presenting a possible fiscal crisis scenario in Japan, we evaluate the effectiveness of quantitative easing and highlight its limitations. Thereafter, we propose some measures to consolidate budget deficits under a deflationary environment in order to avoid such a crisis. Some policy options include a combination of a gradual increase in indirect taxes and a reduction in payroll tax. In order to overcome the zero lower bound of nominal interest rates, the introduction of the Gesell tax is also proposed. By levying a tax on the outstanding amount of government-guaranteed financial assets including cash, it is possible to set a negative nominal return on safe assets.
 
Table of contents

 
Keyword
Fiscal Policy  

Budget Deficit  

Deflation  

Potential Growth JEL classification: G21  

G28  

G32  

G33  

G38  
NDC
 
Note

 
Language
英語  
Type of resource
text  
Genre
Journal Article  
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Last modified date
Sep 13, 2019 10:14:09  
Creation date
Aug 21, 2014 12:38:40  
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History
Sep 12, 2019    上位タイトル,上位タイトル 号,上位タイトル 年 を変更
Sep 13, 2019    上位タイトル 巻,上位タイトル を変更
 
Index
/ Public / Faculty of Business and Commerce / Keio business review / 47/48 (2012/2013)
 
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