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AN10079809-20140930-0035.pdf
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:Oct 21, 2014 |
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Title |
Title |
数理モデルに基づく風疹流行の考察
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Kana |
スウリ モデル ニ モトズク フウシン リュウコウ ノ コウサツ
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Romanization |
Suri moderu ni motozuku fushin ryuko no kosatsu
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Other Title |
Title |
Consideration on rubella epidemic based on mathematical models.
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Kana |
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Romanization |
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Creator |
Name |
南, 就将
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Kana |
ミナミ, ナリユキ
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Romanization |
Minami, Nariyuki
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Affiliation |
慶應義塾大学医学部数学教室
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Affiliation (Translated) |
School of medicine, Keio University
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Name |
北川, 清宏
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Kana |
キタガワ, キヨヒロ
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Romanization |
Kitagawa, Kiyohiro
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Affiliation |
慶應義塾大学医学部医学科
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Affiliation (Translated) |
School of medicine, Keio University
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Role |
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Link |
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Name |
鈴木, 瞭介
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Kana |
スズキ, リョウスケ
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Romanization |
Suzuki, Ryosuke
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Affiliation |
慶應義塾大学医学部医学科
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Affiliation (Translated) |
School of medicine, Keio University
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Name |
慶應義塾大学日吉紀要刊行委員会
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Kana |
ケイオウ ギジュク ダイガク ヒヨシ キヨウ カンコウ イインカイ
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Romanization |
Keio gijuku daigaku Hiyoshi kiyo kanko iinkai
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Issued (from:yyyy) |
2014
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Physical description |
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Source Title |
Name |
慶應義塾大学日吉紀要. 自然科学
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Name (Translated) |
The Hiyoshi review of natural science
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Volume |
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Issue |
56
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Year |
2014
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Month |
9
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Start page |
35
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End page |
60
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Abstract |
Based on mathematical modeling, we consider the rubella epidemic from the following three aspects; (1) we give a full mathematical account of the formula for the period of epidemic, which is 5 years in the case of rubella, of an acute endemic infectious disease when no vaccination program was introduced, (2) assuming that the everyday contact of adult men and women is assortative (with-like) rather than uniform, we argue that the condition was ready for 2013 epidemic of rubella in Japan, (3) we explain that insufficient vaccination coverage can lead to increase of susceptible adults, which might have been a background of 2013 rubella epidemic in Japan.
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Departmental Bulletin Paper
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